Google's SGE is launching. Here's what to do about it.
5 steps to adapt to an AI-first search world now
This week’s newsletter is sponsored by the Digital PR agency Search Intelligence, which uses PR methods to grow a link portfolio and North Star Inbound, which is a recommended agency for penalty recovery. See their case studies linked in the newsletter.
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Check out Glenn Allsopp’s quarterly update on who’s winning in search
Google first previewed the idea of generative AI in search results at their annual Google I/O event last year. At the time, they said they wanted to take advantage of breakthroughs in AI and “supercharge” search. It was clear from this announcement that they were only doing this because they were forced to do so by OpenAI.
The first wave of beta testers began gaining access shortly before Memorial Day. Initial feedback of SGE was mixed, but given all the headlines around other AI releases at the time, SGE performed far better with less accuracy and hallucination issues. I really liked it for pure informational queries as it saved a lot of time from choosing a link and then reading a website to find the information I sought.
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Volatility in results
Over the first few weeks, the frequency at which SGE was triggered automatically was constantly in flux. There were categories where SGE showed up automatically one day and didn’t appear even as a “generate” box the next day.
Even the SGE responses themselves were in flux, with the same query repeated and giving different results.
According to many reports, Google planned to launch SGE soon after opening the beta, as Google is the kind of company that does not shy away from launching less-than-fully-baked products. (As an exclusive Android user since the first version of the phone, I have experienced firsthand how Google bugs might have impacted a product because they are quick to release it.)
Roadblocks to launch
Google was held back from launching fully for three distinct reasons:
Cost
Every single SGE query uses compute power that is significantly more costly than the database lookup of a traditional search
Legal concerns
There are unanswered questions about the liability of AI content
There are allegations of plagiarism that have yet to be resolved
Monetization
Going all in on SGE means less room for ads, and this will impact revenue
Questions remain
Google has still not completely solved these issues, but they are under enough pressure internally and externally to be ready to launch anyway.
While Google has announced a small beta, it is now internally planning a full launch just after I/O, which will be on May 14th this year. (Edit: this is the current planned date, but it can still shift later. )
This will fundamentally change Google as we know it, and most of the world has no idea. I was just at the Shoptalk retail conference, where I spoke to marketers at a handful of major retailers, and they had no idea about this massive shift in search funnels that is about to be unleashed on the world.
Once it happens, you can expect a massive outcry in the media about lost traffic and how unfair it is, but it will be too late to pivot.
Now is the time, so here’s what you can do.
Buyers don’t change only funnels do
First and foremost, put this change in perspective. Yes, traffic will change, but the number of potential customers will not. If you are selling cars online, the number of car buyers will not change just because of a search layout change. The same applies if you are selling a digital product like software. The number of people benefitting from your solution is fixed regardless of how Google looks to users.
Transition to new KPI’s
This means you first need to shift your KPIs away from what they are today. Of course, this will need to change if you are using traffic and rankings as a metric. A #1 ranking will not have anywhere near the CTR it does today once it gets shoved down the page by an SGE response. Additionally, traffic as a whole will automatically shift downwards with the change in page layout.
This doesn’t mean you're doing SEO incorrectly, but you must change your measurements.
Since tracking might not be in place immediately with Google Search Console, you might not even know what an organic click is. Start preparing for that today by looking at logs and setting a baseline on Google referral and direct traffic. Then, you have a number to subtract if there’s a substantial change in these channels.
Ultimately, there will be less traffic coming from Google if queries are satisfied without a click, but that shouldn’t change the conversion mix that much if you are showing up in SGE.
If you aren’t already measuring conversion from search, start doing that today. Yes, it’s hard, but it does not mean you can ignore it.
Pivot strategies to the mid-funnel
More important than tracking performance, most people will need a complete strategy pivot.
Writing content about keywords doesn’t make much sense if users are going to search for those keywords and not click. As I have written in the past, the best strategy is likely to target the mid-funnel. An SGE response will likely take up the broad top-of-funnel queries. The users will be informed more about the product category of their searches and, from there, make more informed queries that are lower in the funnel. This is where you want to build SEO efforts.
Additionally, with SGE, more non-branded searches will be answered by an SGE response so that the next query might be branded. Start now if you aren’t yet measuring and taking credit for branded searches today.
Build brand citations instead of links
Generate citations about your company and products to aid those branded queries. This means that links will count far less, and the new link-building will be brand-building—no hyperlinks necessary.
Communicate
Lastly, and potentially most importantly, communicate this massive change to internal and external stakeholders. There are many unknowns about what will happen, so you likely can't communicate a solution.
Still, you can preempt surprises by informing those who need to know about this massive change. Traffic will change, data sources will break, and reporting will be challenging. Communicate all of this in as much detail as you can. Your role as the person guiding this massive change is more critical than ever.
Change is good
The world of search is changing, but it is better for the user, which means that if you focus on satisfying the user, you are still in the right place.
SGE is a funnel change, not the death of SEO. No matter what the user uses to pull content and choose what they want to see, SEO is necessary to facilitate that. Google may die, and ChatGPT will rise, but the SEO team still needs to ensure that content and websites are visible in whatever the search platform is.
Don’t be afraid of change. Welcome it. the playing field has been leveled, and you will always win if you target the user.
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Hey Eli, could you give a hypothetical example of this “Pivot strategies to the mid-funnel”? I usually consider case studies or alternative pages/articles MOFU content (among other things). But in my mind, SEO content is still a TOFU strategy and then once a potential users signs up for a free trial, subscribes, etc., you serve them MOFU content to bring them down the funnel. Are you considering branded searched mid-funnel b/c the user already did the research to find out what options are out there to solve their problem? And now they’re investigating further? But can we technically consider them MOFU then? Hope my questions make sense! Thanks.
Hey Eli, I keep coming back to your short section on brand citations and thinking more about it. Would love to hear if you have any expanded thoughts on it?